#每周策略推荐#

1. Market Review/Analysis and Robot Strategy Selection:
After a week of fluctuations, Bitcoin has chosen to break upwards and is currently close to its historical high. From a technical perspective, the daily Bollinger Bands have broken above the upper band, but the lower band has a wider opening, indicating strong bullish momentum. However, caution is needed for the risk of a pullback due to overbought conditions. The widening of the lower band suggests that if a pullback occurs, it could lead to a sharp decline.

The daily MACD is closely touching the zero line with a golden cross, combined with the 4-hour MACD golden cross widening, confirming the continuation of the upward trend in the short term with a dual-period synchronization golden cross. However, the daily MACD being close to the zero line indicates that momentum is still in the accumulation phase, requiring continuous volume support.

Overall, the increase in volume when breaking through key levels is effective, but the sustainability is in question. If there is a decrease in volume afterwards, it may pull back; in the short term, key positions are resistance at $125,000 and support at $118,500.

From a macro perspective, the board supports three interest rate cuts in 2025, and expectations for liquidity easing are heating up, with a significant possibility of further upward movement; moreover, institutional buying continues, and the Bitcoin spot ETF has reversed the trend of net outflows, with three consecutive days of net inflows, offsetting the pressure of retail profit-taking.

From a technical perspective, ETH is facing resistance at the upper track of $4,350 on the daily chart, with the price testing this resistance multiple times. If it breaks through with strong volume, it could open up space to $4,500; otherwise, it may pull back to the support at $4,100. The 4-hour MACD is showing a golden cross and expanding, indicating that the upward momentum is stronger than BTC, but attention should be paid to the ETH/BTC exchange rate. Currently, there has been a phenomenon of a spike followed by a retreat.

From the market perspective, buying from Japan and South Korea is in full swing, with Ethereum breaking through historical highs against the Japanese Yen and South Korean Won, which will support its resistance against depreciation in USD terms. In the short term, we need to observe the effectiveness of breaking through $4,350, targeting $4,500; otherwise, it may retrace to $4,150.

After the current market surge, it is not suitable to chase the rise, but since the upward momentum has not completely faded, one should not blindly short against the trend; be cautious with leverage. The strategy suitable for the current market is: BTC spot Martingale + ETH spot grid.

2. Robot Practical Strategy Reference
Strategy Recommendation 1: There will be competition at the resistance level, you can position BTCUSDT spot Martingale.
How much to add when it drops: 1.5%;
Maximum number of positions: 6;
Take profit ratio per round: 2%;

Strategy Recommendation 2: Uptrend inertia is present but the resistance level is obvious, you can lay out ETH/USDT spot grid.

Price range: $3950 - $4520;
Number of grids: 50
Expected strategy execution time: August 11 - August 21;

Warm reminder: The above content is for reference only and should not be considered as investment advice. You can check more information to make reasonable investment decisions.